China might be preparing for a surprise attack on Japan, which could involve a large missile assault targeting key U.S. and Japanese military installations in the region.
The rationale behind this operation is clear: to ensure the success of a complex amphibious invasion of Taiwan, China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) would need to establish air and naval dominance around the island. Japan hosts a significant portion of allied naval and maritime forces. PLA doctrine prioritizes a preemptive strike to incapacitate these forces, paving the way for a large-scale invasion of Taiwan. In this scenario, the PLA would transport hundreds of thousands of troops across the Strait using both military and civilian vessels. A preemptive attack on U.S. and allied air and naval capabilities would grant China the necessary superiority for such an extensive and complicated amphibious operation. Historically, no modern amphibious invasion has succeeded without neutralizing the enemy’s navy and air force first.
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