China is not yet a unified great power. This is a humiliation to the Chinese people and a shame to the children of the Yellow Emperor. For the sake of national unification and dignity, China has to fight six wars in the coming fifty years, each one of them is inevitable for Chinese unification.
The 2nd War: “Reconquest” of Spratly Islands from Vietnam (Year 2025 to 2030)
After the unification of Taiwan, China will take a rest for two years. During the period of recovery, China will send an ultimatum to countries surrounding the Islands with a deadline of 2028. The countries having disputes over the sovereignty of the Islands can negotiate with China to preserve their shares of investments in these Islands by giving up their territorial claims. If not, once China declares war on them, China will take over their investments and economic benefits.
At this moment, the Southeast Asian countries are already shivering with the Chinese military unification of Taiwan.
At this moment, the Southeast Asian countries are already shivering with the Chinese military unification of Taiwan. On one hand, they will be sitting by the negotiation table, yet they are reluctant to give up their interests in the Islands. Therefore, they will be taking the wait-and-see attitude and keep delaying to make the final decision. They will not decide whether to make peace or go to war until China takes any firm action. The map below shows the situation of territorial claims over the Spratly Islands. (Map omitted)
Besides, the U.S. will not just sit and watch China “reconquesting” the Islands. In the 1stwar mentioned above, the U.S. may be too late to join the war or simply unable to stop China from reunifying Taiwan. This should be enough to teach the U.S. a lesson not to confront too openly with China. Still, the U.S. will aid those South East Asian countries, such as Vietnam and the Philippines, under the table. Among the countries surrounding the South China Sea, only Vietnam and the Philippines dare to challenge China’s domination. Still, they will think twice before going to war with China unless they fail on the negotiation table and are sure they can gain military support from the U.S.
The best option for China is to attack Vietnam since Vietnam is the most powerful country in the region. Beating Vietnam can intimidate the rest. While the war with Vietnam goes on, other countries will not move. If Vietnam loses, others will hand their islands back to China. If the opposite, they will declare war on China.
Of course, China will beat Vietnam and take over all the islands. When Vietnam loses the war and its islands, other countries, intimidated by Chinese military power yet still greedy to keep their interests, will negotiate with China, returning the islands and declaring allegiance to China. So China can build the ports and place troops on these islands, extending its influence into the Pacific Ocean.
Up till now, China has made a thorough breakthrough of the First Island Chain and infiltrated the Second one, Chinese aircraft carrier can have free access into the Pacific Ocean, safeguarding its own interests.
(The other wars China is sure to fight, you will find in separate posts in this section.)