July , 2013

China is not yet a unified great power. This is a humiliation to the Chinese people and a shame to the children of the Yellow Emperor. For the sake of national unification and dignity, China has to fight six wars in the coming fifty years, each one of them is inevitable for Chinese unification.

The 1st War: Unification of Taiwan (Year 2020 to 2025)

Though we are enjoying peace on the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, we should not daydream of a resolution of peaceful unification from the Taiwan administration (no matter if it is the Chinese Nationalist Party or the Democratic Progressive Party). Peaceful unification does not fit their interests while running for elections. Their stance is, therefore, to keep to the status quo (which is favourable to both parties, as each of them can get more bargaining chips). For Taiwan, “independence” is just a mouth talk rather than a formal declaration, while “unification” is just an issue for negotiation rather than for real action. The current situation in Taiwan is a source of anxiety for China since everyone can take the chance to bargain more from China.

China must work out a strategy to unify Taiwan within the next ten years, that is, by 2020.

China must work out a strategy to unify Taiwan within the next ten years, that is, by 2020. By then, China will have to send an ultimatum to Taiwan, demanding the Taiwanese to choose the resolution of peaceful unification (the most preferred epilogue for the Chinese) or war (an option forced to be so) by 2025. For the purpose of unification, China has to make preparations three to five years earlier. So when the time comes, the Chinese government must act on either option to give a final answer to the problem.

From the analysis of the current situation, Taiwan is expected to be defiant towards unification, so military action will be the only solution. This war of unification will be the first war under the sense of modern warfare since the establishment of the “New China”. This war will be a test of the development of the People’s Liberation Army in modern warfare. China may win this war easily, or it may turn out to be a difficult one. All depend on the level of intervention of the U.S. and Japan. If the U.S. and Japan play active roles in aiding Taiwan or even making offensives into the Chinese mainland, the war must become a difficult and prolonged total war. On the other hand, if the U.S. and Japan just watch and see, the Chinese army can easily defeat the Taiwanese. In this case, Taiwan can be under control within three months. Even if the U.S. and Japan step in at this stage, the war can be finished within six months.

(The other wars China is sure to fight, you will find in separate posts in this section.)